Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.554456 1.771348 2.007324 2.283109 2.596584 2.941841 3.351011
2025-11-09 1.178619 1.464481 1.802807 2.232697 2.764508 3.401075 4.221449
2025-11-16 0.992559 1.309566 1.707276 2.242772 2.945207 3.835815 5.052101
2025-11-23 0.870922 1.207081 1.649476 2.274131 3.133837 4.276456 5.912800
2025-11-30 0.763709 1.104792 1.572712 2.261273 3.249301 4.617309 6.658892
2025-12-07 0.668813 1.005415 1.484724 2.216670 3.306979 4.872977 7.297994
2025-12-14 0.585863 0.912251 1.393138 2.152827 3.323844 5.063088 7.848917
2025-12-21 0.526372 0.846773 1.333991 2.128239 3.391929 5.327941 8.527419
2025-12-28 0.497868 0.825666 1.339045 2.200840 3.613121 5.840272 9.629777
2026-01-04 0.451528 0.770716 1.284763 2.171974 3.667150 6.090452 10.329054
2026-01-11 0.427190 0.749337 1.282031 2.225888 3.859160 6.575652 11.452615
2026-01-18 0.396698 0.714241 1.252743 2.231153 3.967559 6.927849 12.376593
2026-01-25 0.364456 0.676391 1.221132 2.240182 4.102606 7.370179 13.561083
2026-02-01 0.325859 0.623658 1.159417 2.191773 4.135540 7.646486 14.496492
2026-02-08 0.300443 0.592096 1.131859 2.201628 4.273670 8.121222 15.840162
2026-02-15 0.280629 0.568785 1.116733 2.232416 4.452781 8.686332 17.409401
2026-02-22 0.257794 0.536840 1.081524 2.219792 4.545107 9.093317 18.708944
2026-03-01 0.234077 0.500383 1.033507 2.176003 4.569683 9.368450 19.769159
2026-03-08 0.211075 0.462808 0.979257 2.113326 4.548218 9.547504 20.646786
2026-03-15 0.194214 0.436419 0.945233 2.089188 4.604110 9.888192 21.895887
2026-03-22 0.187412 0.431224 0.955243 2.160463 4.871191 10.694659 24.228046
2026-03-29 0.172826 0.406998 0.921691 2.132124 4.916087 11.028492 25.548676
2026-04-05 0.165873 0.399491 0.924199 2.185053 5.148300 11.792641 27.914952